Trump is boosted by the economy and the expense of living ahead of an unpredictable election, Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, while Harris is boosted by abortion and growing Democratic enthusiasm.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, The presidential race is a close race characterized by opposing forces that have helped both Republican Donald Trump and Democrat Kamala Harris in their bid for the presidency.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, When combined, the poll indicates that in a head-to-head contest, 49% of registered voters would favor Harris, while 49% would back Trump. Only 2% of voters express uncertainty about their selection.
Increasing Democratic fervor, a 20-point lead over Trump on abortion, and Harris’s edge over Trump on who better represents the middle class are all factors supporting Harris.
Trump’s supporters include two-thirds of people who think the country is going in the wrong direction, a positive opinion of Trump’s leadership, particularly when contrasted with President Joe Biden’s present performance, and Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Trump’s double-digit economic and cost of living advantages.
Little separates Harris and Trump in final News poll
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, After a close and unpredictable contest, the contenders are tied at 49% in the head-to-head nationwide ballot test. In more than a year of News polling, no contender received a majority of the vote.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, The fierce polarization of the country is also defining the close race, with men’s and women’s voting preferences differing by more than 30 percent. Sixty percent of voters think the nation will stay divided regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.
Despite the intense campaign activity in the last weeks and the billions of dollars spent on ads, Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, the study also shows a notable level of stability, with little change in the battle since last month.
Democratic pollster Jeff Horwitt of Hart Research Associates, who co-conducted the study with Republican pollster Bill McInturff of Public Opinion Strategies, stated, Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, “This is very stable data from where we were in October.”
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, “We’ve picked our corner and become more distant,” McInturff continued. “Neither side moves or budges, and they are as locked down as it gets.”
When the two candidates were tied at 48% each in the October News poll, the 49%-49% contest depicted in this poll is basically unchanged.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Trump and Harris are at 47% and 46%, respectively, on a broader ballot that now includes third-party candidates. The combined percentage of voters who support other candidates or are unsure is 7%, which remains constant from October.
A similar picture with third party candidates including
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, With third-party candidates included, Trump and Harris are separated by half a percentage point, which is comfortably within the error range. Only in states where the candidates are officially on the 2024 ballot did voters hear their selections.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, The News poll also offers a glimpse of what might occur based on even slightly different turnout scenarios, since close elections are sometimes determined by which party better mobilizes its supporters.
Trump leads Harris by 2 points, 50%-48%, in a little more Republican-friendly climate, meaning higher turnout among white voters, men, and voters without college degrees by even a few percentage points.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, However, these survey results show Harris ahead of Trump by 3 points, 50%-47%, in a more favorable turnout environment for Democrats, which means a slight rise in women, white voters with college degrees, and voters of color showing up to the polls.
All of these findings are within the 3.1 percentage point range of the poll’s margin of error.
However, the outcome of the presidential election will ultimately depend on events in crucial battleground states like Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Wisconsin due to the country’s Electoral College system. Additionally, recent surveys from those states reveal narrow margins and little certainty.
A 34-point gender gap
The findings of News survey are as close as they can be, at 49%-49%.Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, However, there are still significant disparities in candidate support between various categories.
Harris had the largest lead over Trump, according to the poll, among Black voters (87%–9%), younger voters (57%–41%), and white voters with college degrees (55%–43%).
Meanwhile, Trump is ahead among white voters (56%–42%), white voters without college degrees (64%–34%), and rural voters (75%–23%).
The stark gender divide between Trump and Harris, however, remains one of the election’s most notable aspects, with men supporting Trump by 18 points (58%–40%) and women preferring Harris by 16 points (57%–41%).
A broad gap separates male and female voters
This 34-point net gender disparity is more than the 30-point deficit found in the News poll conducted in October.
In contrast, Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Harris leads by 8 points (51%–43%) among independent voters. Although the sample size is tiny and the margin of error is far wider than the entire survey, she is just 9 points ahead among Latino voters (53%–44%).
Trump is ahead on cost of living and the border; Harris leads on abortion and the middle class
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, In terms of how the candidates would respond to important problems and how well they match up as president, Harris continues to have a substantial lead over Trump on the abortion issue, outscoring him by 20 points.
In terms of who better represents the middle class, Harris leads Trump by 9 points, 51%-42%.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, On the other hand, Trump has double-digit leads over the other candidates in terms of how well he manages the economy (51%–41%) and the cost of living (52%–40%). Additionally, he continues to lead by 25 points on border security and immigration control, which have been his top platforms throughout the 2024 campaign.
How voters graded Trump and Harris on issues and characteristics
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, However, people are essentially divided on who is more capable and effective (with 47% citing Trump and 45% citing Harris), as well as who better represents change (46% choosing Harris and 41% choosing Trump).
This represents a minor turnaround from October, when 48% of people believed Harris would be more capable and successful than Trump (43%).
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Biden remains a drag for Democrats
According to News poll, 41% of registered voters are in favor of President Joe Biden’s job performance, while 58% are against it.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, That represents a modest decrease from the 43% who expressed approval of his presidency in October.
In contrast, when asked to rate Trump’s tenure in office, 48% of respondents say they are satisfied with the former president’s job performance, while 51% disagree.Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, This is the same as the poll conducted last month and higher than any evaluation of Trump’s tenure.
Trump is benefiting from stronger ratings of his presidency
When asked if they were more concerned about Trump repeating the policies of his first term as president or Harris continuing Biden’s strategy, 41% of voters say they are more worried about Harris doing the same thing as Biden, while 40% say they are more worried about Trump doing the same thing as Biden.
According to another 14% of voters, neither is an issue.
More than half of voters say they’ve already cast ballots
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, 54% of registered voters say they have already cast their ballot, and 11% say they want to do so in the next few days, according to the poll, which was conducted in the field until Saturday night.
In the head-to-head contest, Harris leads Trump by 7 points, 53%–46%, among that early-voting demographic, which comprises over two-thirds of the population. In contrast, Biden was more than 20 points ahead of Trump among these voters in the last 2020 NBC News poll. Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Trump and the Republican Party have worked hard to get his followers to cast ballots early in the year.
Trump is 16 points ahead of the 33% of voters who say they will wait until election day (56%–40%).
Other findings in the poll
60% of the poll’s registered voters believe that the United States will remain divided regardless of the outcome of the presidential election, while 28% believe that it will become more united.
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, With 43% of voters favoring Harris and 50% disapproving of her (a -7 net rating), Harris and Trump have nearly equal popularity ratings. In contrast, Trump had a score of 42% positive and 51% negative (-9).
Harris-Trump Election Result Race Is Neck And Neck, Regarding the race for Congress, 47% of people say they would rather see Democrats in power, while 46% say they would rather see Republicans in power. Compared to last month, when the two parties were tied at 47% each on this topic, that is essentially unchanged.
